CIN @ NYM07:10 pm • SNY BSOH
CIN @ NYM (7:10 ET, 9 O/U): Temps in the upper-80s with some 10-15 mph winds blowing OUT to center. Bats get a bump.
Chris Bassitt (RHP), NYM | DK: $9.3k, FD: $10.4k | vs. CIN
The only thing working against Bassitt today would be the weather at Citi Field (warm w/ 10-15 mph winds blowing out). However, his low 34.4% Flyball Rate and 85.5 mph average exit velocity should mitigate some concerns there. Bassitt brings above average strikeout upside to the table with his 24.4% kRate and he’s rocking a strong 1.12 WHIP on the season as well. Of course, the major draw here is his opponent. The Reds are almost always going to be a team to target, particularly when they’re playing outside the confines of their extremely hitter-friendly ballpark. Against RHPs on the road in the last two weeks, the Reds have a paltry .179 AVG, .234 wOBA, .048 ISO, and 48 wRC+. Rough stuff. It is pretty easy to see why the Mets are decisive -335 favorites today.
When the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets meet for a three-game series on Monday, Aug. 8, it marks another moment of rare excitement in an otherwise uninteresting MLB season. There are two reasons why this matchup is unique: For starters, it's the first time these teams have played each other since June, and it will also count as Dunn's first start of the year after missing most of the season with an injury. It might not be enough to get fans excited about this series on its own, but at least there's something different here than in most other matchups this summer.
New York Mets vs. Justin Dunn (RHP), CIN
Dunn makes his 2022 debut for the Reds today and it’s hard to imagine things will go well for him in this game. Dunn has a decent amount of experience in the majors but he has not necessarily impressed. In 102.2 IP, he has come away with a not-so-terrible 3.94 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. However, his 6.05 xFIP and 5.79 SIERA in that time indicate he benefited from a large amount of luck. In seven starts and 26.0 IP in Triple-A this year, Dunn has posted a very poor 6.92 ERA and 1.81 WHIP. If he’s struggling that much against minor leaguers, he’ll have his hands full with a surging Mets offense that leads the MLB with a .309 AVG and 152 wRC+ vs. RHPs in the last two weeks.
CIN Bullpen Rating: 4/10
Favorite NYM Bats: Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo | Sneaky Bat: Tyler Naquin (1% pOwn%)
Favorite Game Prop: Chris Bassitt OVER 18.5 Outs | -104 (Caesars) | 2.0 Units
Bassitt excels at pitching deep into games and he has covered at least six full frames in eight consecutive starts. In six of those eight starts, he has secured at least 19 outs (6.1 IP). The Reds are in town and their struggles on the road are well documented. As mentioned in the pitcher section above, against RHPs on the road in the last two weeks, the Reds have a terrible.179 AVG, .234 wOBA, .048 ISO, and 48 wRC+. Let’s look for Bassitt to cash the over on this 18.5 outs prop once again.